Tuesday, April 21, 2009

First BC Projections

The most recent poll, from Mustel, would yield the following results:
BCL - 71
NDP - 14

This seems a bit high for the Liberals. The NDP were recorded up by 5 points in an Angus Reid poll from November 2008.
NDP-51
BCL-34

An Ipsos poll, also from November 2008 would yield the following results:
BCL - 63
NDP - 20
GRN - 2
Very good for the Greens.

We, however, feel the most representative poll is the March 25th poll from Angus Reid, showing the Liberals at 43%, the NDP at 37%, and the Greens at 13%. These numbers would yield the following results:
BCL-53
NDP-32

Our official projection, however, as of this time, is as follows:
BCL-50
NDP-35