Friday, October 2, 2009

Tories balance at Majority

<- Province breakdowns below

Due to the fact that it looks like there will be no election, I've had to adjust the trendline of the projection to extend further out. In short, what this means, is the current upward trend of the Tories means more, as we expect that without an election (IE a game changer) that it will continue. Therefore, we have adjusted our projection for this, and present both the new projection, using the new trendline, and the old projection, using the former trendline below.

Without Trendline (Old projection)
CPC - 148
Lib - 85
BQ - 48
NDP - 27

With Trendline (New projection)
CPC - 154
Lib - 80
BQ - 48
NDP - 26

Vote breakdown below the fold


NL
Lib - 4
CPC - 2 (Avalon, and St.John's South)
NDP - 1

PE
Lib - 3
CPC - 1

NS
Lib - 5
CPC - 3
NDP - 3

NB
CPC - 6
Lib - 3
NDP - 1

QC
BQ - 48
Lib - 19
CPC - 7
NDP - 1

ON
CPC - 61 (Including 1 seat in the city of Toronto)
Lib - 36 (only 7 seats outside the GTA)
NDP - 9

MB
CPC - 10
NDP - 3
Lib - 1

SK
CPC - 13
Lib - 1

AB
CPC - 28

BC
CPC - 22
NDP - 7
Lib - 7

TR
CPC - 1
Lib - 1
NDP - 1

No Election

-

Looks like there will be no election this November, if at all this year. I will begin tagging my projections as the 2010 election


Sorry, no extra data today!